Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1235.899024 1409.941505 1605.292162 1841.864387 2122.004652 2444.876900 2847.640783
2025-07-13 1004.784933 1238.858548 1527.911779 1915.678490 2429.262328 3096.208331 4044.611539
2025-07-20 870.332983 1125.273724 1459.305507 1937.686009 2619.782975 3580.550005 5079.515646
2025-07-27 780.778068 1049.131360 1418.227003 1976.551085 2824.505054 4107.175796 6283.462264
2025-08-03 709.746300 984.815731 1378.918602 2003.657424 3006.209806 4622.351758 7583.634158
2025-08-10 663.382277 947.798247 1370.851621 2071.405505 3255.908123 5286.618585 9302.877584
2025-08-17 616.364132 903.047979 1343.540780 2101.482020 3444.171611 5878.668968 11048.978918
2025-08-24 572.590211 857.730224 1308.655385 2111.747008 3596.189193 6431.240578 12873.565254
2025-08-31 534.910546 817.678146 1276.837124 2121.180922 3745.557474 7005.931260 14921.497691
2025-09-07 506.899704 790.203248 1262.233137 2158.012554 3951.436057 7736.967349 17579.529981
2025-09-14 465.403196 736.276050 1196.449676 2090.926484 3937.592605 7991.911523 19125.690054
2025-09-21 429.900379 689.475516 1138.520003 2031.264465 3928.861327 8255.487309 20789.772623
2025-09-28 394.293499 640.747833 1074.624331 1956.350725 3884.966566 8450.737672 22413.570129
2025-10-05 382.423050 632.992514 1085.087441 2032.835796 4192.627091 9592.717797 27490.186714
2025-10-12 365.034228 613.596618 1071.450140 2056.977671 4383.562587 10485.502657 32222.924596
2025-10-19 351.244293 599.542582 1066.471072 2098.682626 4624.821517 11586.478778 38361.767388
2025-10-26 337.219223 583.809979 1056.507912 2127.847557 4840.560296 12680.507765 45197.061746
2025-11-02 328.713923 577.821036 1065.345956 2200.730770 5185.621483 14284.416242 55445.562358
2025-11-09 316.848707 564.307297 1057.354237 2233.100396 5428.041678 15642.947305 65695.063880
2025-11-16 303.952814 547.745353 1041.391489 2244.149475 5613.202377 16873.983406 76424.316984
2025-11-23 291.950284 532.071323 1025.877889 2254.304812 5798.745629 18178.387315 88916.823124
2025-11-30 283.163014 522.271251 1022.197395 2293.959709 6083.404923 19975.838504 106628.614906
2025-12-07 266.425636 494.938011 977.484765 2221.739331 6002.651344 20284.630496 114437.643091